International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM): A Look inside the Quant Data

Taking a look at valuation rankings for International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM), we see that the stock has a Value Composite score of 42. Developed by James O’Shaughnessy, the VC score uses five valuation ratios. These ratios are price to earnings, price to cash flow, EBITDA to EV, price to book value, and price to sales. The VC is displayed as a number between 1 and 100. In general, a company with a score closer to 0 would be seen as undervalued, and a score closer to 100 would indicate an overvalued company. Adding a sixth ratio, shareholder yield, we can view the Value Composite 2 score which is currently sitting at 31.

As earnings season kicks into high gear, investors may be analyzing the numbers and trying to decide what to do next. Investors may be choosing to buy companies that have a proven track record of solid earnings growth. Other investors may be looking to spot the diamonds in the rough that haven’t necessarily broken out yet. It may be wise to research companies that continually string together superior quarters. One great quarter or one horrible quarter may not provide enough information to justify either a buy or a sell. Many investors will look deeper into the numbers for companies that produce much wider surprise factors than expected. This may occur on either end of the dial with a beat or a miss. Earnings reports also have the ability to cause severe stock price fluctuations. Some traders will look to catch some profits while others may stay on the bench until the dust has cleared.

In taking a look at some other notable technicals, International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM)’s ROIC is 0.269189. The ROIC 5 year average is 0.457429 and the ROIC Quality ratio is 5.880560. ROIC is a profitability ratio that measures the return that an investment generates for those providing capital. ROIC helps show how efficient a firm is at turning capital into profits.

The Q.i. Value of International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM) is 20.00000.  The Q.i. Value is a helpful tool in determining if a company is undervalued or not.  The Q.i. Value is calculated using the following ratios: EBITDA Yield, Earnings Yield, FCF Yield, and Liquidity.  The lower the Q.i. value, the more undervalued the company is thought to be.

The FCF Yield 5yr Average is calculated by taking the five year average free cash flow of a company, and dividing it by the current enterprise value.  Enterprise Value is calculated by taking the market capitalization plus debt, minority interest and preferred shares, minus total cash and cash equivalents.  The average FCF of a company is determined by looking at the cash generated by operations of the company.  The Free Cash Flow Yield 5 Year Average of International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM) is 0.081455. 

Quant Scores

International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM) currently has a Montier C-score of 4.00000. This indicator was developed by James Montier in an attempt to identify firms that were cooking the books in order to appear better on paper. The score ranges from zero to six where a 0 would indicate no evidence of book cooking, and a 6 would indicate a high likelihood. A C-score of -1 would indicate that there is not enough information available to calculate the score. Montier used six inputs in the calculation. These inputs included a growing difference between net income and cash flow from operations, increasing receivable days, growing day’s sales of inventory, increasing other current assets, decrease in depreciation relative to gross property plant and equipment, and high total asset growth.

International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM) has an M-score Beneish of -2.950453. This M-score model was developed by Messod Beneish in order to detect manipulation of financial statements. The score uses a combination of eight different variables. The specifics of the variables and formula can be found in the Beneish paper “The Detection of Earnings Manipulation”.

At the time of writing, International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM) has a Piotroski F-Score of 7. The F-Score may help discover companies with strengthening balance sheets. The score may also be used to spot the weak performers. Joseph Piotroski developed the F-Score which employs nine different variables based on the company financial statement. A single point is assigned to each test that a stock passes. Typically, a stock scoring an 8 or 9 would be seen as strong. On the other end, a stock with a score from 0-2 would be viewed as weak.

International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM) has a current MF Rank of 3330. Developed by hedge fund manager Joel Greenblatt, the intention of the formula is to spot high quality companies that are trading at an attractive price. The formula uses ROIC and earnings yield ratios to find quality, undervalued stocks. In general, companies with the lowest combined rank may be the higher quality picks.

With the stock market still reaching new heights, investors may be wondering how long the good times will keep rolling. It may be tempting to sell some winners to lock in profits at these levels. Of course, nobody can predict how long the market run will continue, but having a plan in place for the possibility of a downturn might be well worth it. Investors may want to regularly check the balance of the portfolio. There might be a few names in the portfolio that have recently taken off to the upside. This may disturb the equilibrium of the portfolio. Investors may need to be prepared to shuffle some profits into other sectors in order to stay in balance. Being able to ride out unexpected spikes or dips may involve keeping a regular watch on economic data and the overall stability of global markets. Investors who are able to avoid panic selling may be able to more efficiently analyze the data necessary to make informed decisions. Having a cool and collected approach may end up being one of the most important traits that the average investor could develop. Finding the proper methods to stay patient when the markets are in a frenzy might just help the investor ride out extended periods of flux and uncertainty.

Shareholder Yield
We also note that International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM) has a Shareholder Yield of 0.065566 and a Shareholder Yield (Mebane Faber) of 0.06395. The first value is calculated by adding the dividend yield to the percentage of repurchased shares. The second value adds in the net debt repaid yield to the calculation. Shareholder yield has the ability to show how much money the firm is giving back to shareholders via a few different avenues. Companies may issue new shares and buy back their own shares. This may occur at the same time. Investors may also use shareholder yield to gauge a baseline rate of return.

MF Rank
International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM) has a current MF Rank of 3330. Developed by hedge fund manager Joel Greenblatt, the intention of the formula is to spot high quality companies that are trading at an attractive price. The formula uses ROIC and earnings yield ratios to find quality, undervalued stocks. In general, companies with the lowest combined rank may be the higher quality picks.

PI
We can now take aquick look at some historical stock price index data. International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM) presently has a 10 month price index of 0.94801. The price index is calculated by dividing the current share price by the share price ten months ago. A ratio over one indicates an increase in share price over the period.

A ratio lower than one shows that the price has decreased over that time period. Looking at some alternate time periods, the 12 month price index is 1.00820, the 24 month is 0.99897, and the 36 month is 1.05882. Narrowing in a bit closer, the 5 month price index is 1.00083, the 3 month is 0.99531, and the 1 month is currently 0.97406.

Investors may be trying to get a read on the next big stock market move. Projecting which stocks are ready to make a run can be tricky. Many investors will track the market from various angles in order to make the best educated decisions. Keeping tabs on all the important economic indicators can help when analyzing the overall health of the stock market. Some financial strategists may be projecting a sharp downturn over the next few months while others believe that there is no tangible reason for the market to lose the near-term momentum.